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Real 2026 Week 1 data. Every player's Actual score is computed from Yahoo Sports' Week 1 box scores (passing, rushing, receiving and kicking tables) using standard PPR scoring. The Week 1 slate and the four published finals come from PFF's statistical review.
Still estimated: the Projected / ceiling / floor columns — no free pre-game projection source was available, and they only drive the accuracy and outlook widgets. D/ST scores carry the points-allowed component only, because neither source exposes team-level sacks and turnovers. In production all of this comes from stats.stat_line joined to comp.fixture.

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Fantasy Football Analytics

2026 season · Week 1 complete ·

Your points—

Projected—

Vs projection—

Roster0

Week 1: Results vs Prediction Markets15 of 16 final · MNF pending

Matchup	Score	Closing line	Total	ATS	O/U	Market read

Favourites ATS

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covered / graded

Outright upsets

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dogs won straight up

Overs

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of graded totals

Highest total

CHI 59–37 CAR · NFL Week 1 record

Week 2 Market BoardSep 17–21 · not yet played

Matchup	Implied win probability	Spread	Market driver

Prices opened off Week 1 performance and offseason models, not final results. Teams with lopsided Week 1 margins (CHI +22, BAL +18, SF +20) drew 1.0–2.5 points of line movement within 12 hours of open. Deepest order books: Lions–Bills (TNF) and Colts–Chiefs (SNF).

Week 1 Highlightsperformers · units · game-altering plays

Standout offensive performers

Josh Allen (BUF) — 334 passing yards, 2 passing TDs, 0 INTs (130.5 rating) plus 2 rushing scores, capped by a 96-yard game-winning drive in Houston.
Derrick Henry (BAL) — 144 yards and 3 rushing TDs, passing Barry Sanders for 3rd all-time in career rushing touchdowns.
Caleb Williams & the Chicago backfield — 4 total TDs (2 pass, 2 rush) on 269 yards; D'Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai combined for 224 rushing yards in a 59-point outburst.
Jaxson Dart (NYG) — 3 passing TDs (two to Isaiah Likely) and a mistake-free second half against Dallas on SNF.
Carson Wentz (MIN) — entered in relief and engineered 29 unanswered points, 12-of-19 for 133 yards and 3 TDs (123.5 rating).

Dominant defensive units

Cincinnati front — 4 sacks and 4 forced turnovers, frustrating Baker Mayfield all afternoon.
San Francisco pass rush — swarmed Matthew Stafford in Melbourne, holding the Rams to 7 points and neutralising the run game.
Jacksonville secondary — intercepted Deshaun Watson on the opening drive and added 5 sacks, turning short fields into 24 unanswered points.
Arizona defense — held Justin Herbert to two deep attempts (>20 air yards) in a 26–14 masterclass at SoFi.

Game-altering plays

The Lambeau turnaround — up 22–10, Green Bay took a field goal off the board after a Minnesota offsides and was stuffed at the goal line, sparking 29 unanswered.
Zay Flowers' 54-yard score — a short crosser taken past the entire Indianapolis secondary to put the game away.
Detroit's OT 4th-and-goal — converted after blowing a 21-point cushion, for a 31–30 win.
Giants ball security — fumbled four times but recovered three of their own to ice the clock against Dallas.

Week 1 Performancestarters vs projection

Actual points

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add players to begin

Projected

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pre-game model

Projection accuracy

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100% = exact

Points on bench

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missed potential

Optimal lineup

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best possible start

Lineup efficiency

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actual ÷ optimal

Season Progressactual vs projected

Actual (played) Projected Forecast (unplayed)

Predictions vs Actualper starter

Beat projection Missed projection

Your Week 2 Outlookroster × market board

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My Roster0 players

No players yet — use Build your team to add players and a defense.

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Position

Player or defense

Starting slots: 1 QB · 2 RB · 2 WR · 1 TE · 1 FLEX · 1 K · 1 DEF. Extra players sit on the bench and count toward your potential.

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Link to your team

Works with ESPN, Yahoo, Sleeper and NFL.com team URLs. The link is stored against your account so weekly results can be pulled in and compared with actual games played.

Points by Position

Potential & Outlook

Ceiling

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best-case week

Floor

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worst-case week

Add players to see projected range and next-week outlook.

Sources. Player box scores: Yahoo Sports NFL weekly stats, 2026 Week 1 (passing, rushing, receiving, kicking). Slate and published finals: PFF, “Statistical Review of NFL Week 1”, 14 Sep 2026. Scoring applied: standard PPR — pass yds ×0.04, pass TD ×4, INT −2, fumble lost −2, rush/rec yds ×0.1, rush/rec TD ×6, reception ×1, FG 0–39 = 3, 40–49 = 4, 50+ = 5, XP = 1.

How this is wired. Weekly fantasy points are computed from event-grain rows in stats.stat_line (passing/rushing/receiving/return/defensive metrics from stats.metric), scored by your league's ruleset and joined to the week's comp.fixture rows. Projections are written by the pipeline's rollup_writer; accuracy, lineup efficiency and points-on-bench are derived at read time. Your league URL is stored per account so progress can be tracked week over week against actual games played.